Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 26?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 13°C in Wellington on March 26.

With a market probability of 99.65% for NO, it indicates a strong belief that the highest temperature will exceed 13°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal chance for a temperature of 13°C. The edge of 0.65 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors temperatures above 13°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight chance for 13°C, but still leans towards NO.
• 3 The edge of 0.65 suggests the market is well-aligned with expectations.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.