Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 17?

The market overwhelmingly predicts temperatures above 13°C in Wellington on March 17.

With a market probability of 100% for 'NO', participants expect the highest temperature in Wellington to exceed 13°C. The Pulse AI probability supports this view with a 99% likelihood for 'NO', indicating strong consensus among market participants. The confidence level of 85/100 suggests a high degree of certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus with 100% probability for 'NO'.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% for 'NO'.
• 3 Confidence level indicates high certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 14 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.