Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 29?

Market strongly favors temperatures above 13°C in Wellington on March 29.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.75% for temperatures exceeding 13°C, indicating strong confidence in this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly lower probabilities. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 38 hours, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures above 13°C.
• 2 High liquidity suggests robust trading activity.
• 3 Historical weather data supports higher temperature trends for this date.
• 4 Minor edge indicates market is fairly priced with slight AI divergence.
• 5 Time pressure may influence last-minute adjustments in predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.