Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on March 12?

The market strongly favors that Wellington's temperature will not reach 14°C on March 12.

Current market probabilities indicate a 0% chance of Wellington's highest temperature reaching 14°C on March 12, with a strong consensus against it. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting minimal likelihood of this outcome. The market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong NO sentiment at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market, indicating low likelihood of YES.
• 3 Confidence level of 80/100 suggests a robust consensus among participants.
• 4 The edge of 1 indicates the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect liquidity and market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.