Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 15?

Wellington's highest temperature is unlikely to reach 15°C on March 15.

The market shows a strong consensus against the possibility of Wellington reaching 15°C, with a 100% probability for NO. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of this temperature occurring within the next 11 hours.

• 1 Market consensus strongly favors a NO outcome at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market, showing 99% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 85/100, indicating strong belief in the NO outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 11 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.