Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 9?

The market strongly favors that Wellington's temperature won't reach 15°C on March 9.

With a market probability of 0% for YES and 100% for NO, the consensus is that the highest temperature in Wellington will not hit 15°C on March 9. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 99% probability for NO, indicating strong confidence in this outcome.

• 1 Market shows unanimous confidence in a NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 Current weather forecasts do not support a 15°C high.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Confidence level is high at 80 out of 100.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.