Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 17?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 16°C in Wellington on March 17.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not be 16°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, showing a slight chance for 'YES' at 1%. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced given the current forecasts and conditions.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a minimal chance for 'YES' at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 80/100, indicating strong market belief.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 suggests fair pricing in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 15 hours remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.