Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 18?

The market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Wellington will not reach 16°C on March 18.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% likelihood that the highest temperature will not be 16°C on March 18. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a slight chance of 1% for a YES outcome. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with high confidence in the NO prediction.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against reaching 16°C.
• 2 High confidence level at 90/100 suggests robust data backing the NO prediction.
• 3 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating reliability.
• 4 Low probability for YES outcome reflects minimal market liquidity.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.