Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 8?

The market indicates a 100% chance that Wellington's temperature won't reach 16°C on March 8.

Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome, with a probability of 100%. The Pulse AI corroborates this with a 99% NO probability, suggesting a consensus that the temperature will not meet the specified threshold. The market appears fairly priced, indicating stable expectations without significant volatility.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus with 100% NO probability.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% NO.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 80/100, indicating strong belief in outcome.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced, suggesting no immediate arbitrage opportunities.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.