Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 17°C in Wellington on March 30.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Wellington will not reach 17°C on March 30. With a Pulse AI probability of only 1% for a YES outcome, the market appears to be accurately priced with high confidence. This suggests a consensus among participants that temperatures will remain below this threshold.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 17°C.
• 2 Weather forecasts are a key factor influencing market probabilities.
• 3 Historical temperature data for Wellington supports the NO outcome.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential last-minute changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.