Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 17?

The market predicts a low chance of Wellington reaching 18°C on March 17.

With a market probability of 2.20% for YES and 97.8% for NO, the consensus is that Wellington is unlikely to hit 18°C on the specified date. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 4.2% YES probability, indicating a strong belief in cooler temperatures. The confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in these predictions.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors cooler temperatures.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest a stable forecast for March 17.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the low temperature predictions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears sufficient for current trading activity.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 15 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.