Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 18?

The market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Wellington will not reach 18°C on March 18.

Current market probabilities indicate a consensus that the highest temperature in Wellington will not hit 18°C on March 18, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also supports this view, assigning a 99% probability to the NO outcome, suggesting strong confidence in this prediction.

• 1 Market shows unanimous confidence in the NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating strong consensus.
• 3 High confidence level suggests low volatility in predictions.
• 4 No significant liquidity issues noted in this market.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, but current data is stable.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.