Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 9?

High probability for Wellington's temperature reaching 18°C on March 9.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% chance that Wellington's highest temperature will be 18°C on March 9, aligning closely with the Pulse AI's 99% probability. With only 3 hours until expiry and a confidence level of 80/100, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -0.95.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of the YES outcome.
• 2 The probability reflects strong consensus among participants.
• 3 Current weather patterns support the likelihood of reaching 18°C.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is stable, allowing for reliable pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal with only 3 hours remaining until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.