Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 19°C in Wellington on March 16.

With a market probability of 0% for a temperature of 19°C, the consensus is that this threshold will not be met. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a high likelihood of temperatures below this mark, supported by an 80/100 confidence level.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against reaching 19°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates a robust belief in the current outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for drastic changes.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with minimal edge.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.