Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 20?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 19°C in Wellington on March 20.

With a market probability of 93.5% for NO, there is a strong consensus that Wellington's highest temperature will not hit 19°C on March 20. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a general agreement among participants about the expected weather conditions.

• 1 Market heavily favors NO with 93.5% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI probability also indicates a low chance for YES at 8.5%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 15 hours, increasing urgency for updates.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 2.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.