Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 24?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Wellington's temperature on March 24.

With a market probability of 0% for YES and 100% for NO, there is a clear consensus against the temperature reaching 19°C. The Pulse AI also indicates a low probability for YES at 1%, suggesting strong alignment with the market sentiment.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in a NO outcome for the temperature forecast.
• 2 Current sentiment is overwhelmingly against the possibility of reaching 19°C.
• 3 The confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 6 hours remaining for the market.
• 5 The edge of 1 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on available data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.