Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 26?

Wellington's temperature forecast for March 26 shows uncertainty around 19°C.

The prediction market indicates an equal probability of 50% for both outcomes regarding the highest temperature in Wellington on March 26, suggesting a balanced sentiment among participants. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors a YES at 53%, indicating a marginal inclination towards temperatures reaching 19°C. With a confidence level of 60/100 and only 12 hours until expiry, the market reflects a close contest.

• 1 Market probability is evenly split at 50% for YES and NO.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slight edge for YES at 53%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 12 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.