Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on March 9?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 19°C in Wellington on March 9.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 19°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher uncertainty, indicating a low likelihood of warmer weather on that date.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 19°C.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest minimal chance of exceeding 19°C.
• 3 Confidence level of 80 indicates reasonable certainty in predictions.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 0.95.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to future forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.