Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 25?

Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 22°C in Wellington on March 25.

The prediction market shows a dominant NO probability of 99.95% regarding the highest temperature in Wellington reaching 22°C on March 25. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, indicating a consensus that temperatures will likely remain below this threshold.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for the temperature prediction.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest a low likelihood of reaching 22°C.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.95.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.