Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 27?

The market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Wellington will not reach 22°C on March 27.

Current market probabilities indicate a unanimous expectation that the highest temperature will not hit 22°C, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a very low chance of the YES outcome. With only 7 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced based on the available data.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against reaching 22°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is limited, reducing potential for market shifts.
• 5 Current market pricing suggests no immediate liquidity concerns.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.