Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 16?

The market favors temperatures below 22°C in Wellington on March 16.

With a market probability of 85% for a NO outcome, the consensus is that the highest temperature will not reach 22°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, showing an 82% probability for the NO outcome, indicating a strong expectation of cooler weather.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors temperatures below 22°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight increase in probability for YES compared to market.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market movements.
• 5 Current sentiment reflects a stable expectation of cooler weather.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.