Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 22?

Wellington's temperature is unlikely to reach 22°C on March 22.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against temperatures reaching 22°C, with a 95.7% probability for 'NO'. This aligns with the Pulse AI's assessment, indicating a low likelihood of higher temperatures based on current data.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors 'NO' at 95.7%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 7.3%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 31 hours remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.