Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on March 27?

High probability for Wellington reaching 23°C on March 27.

The market indicates a 99.75% probability that the highest temperature in Wellington will be 23°C on March 27, with a slight edge suggesting it is fairly priced. The Pulse AI also supports this prediction with a 99% probability, reflecting strong consensus among participants. However, the confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.

• 1 Market shows extremely high confidence in the prediction.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level suggests some room for uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency for decision-making.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.