Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 28?

Low probability for Wellington's temperature reaching 23°C on March 28.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against the highest temperature in Wellington reaching 23°C, with a 96.55% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, though with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 8.45%. The edge of 5 suggests there is insufficient data for a confident assessment of this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts are critical in influencing temperature predictions.
• 3 Historical weather data for late March in Wellington may support current probabilities.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears low, affecting confidence levels.
• 5 Time pressure is increasing as the expiry approaches in 49 hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.