Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C on March 27?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 24°C in Wellington on March 27.

With a market probability of 99.9% for 'NO', participants overwhelmingly expect the highest temperature to be below 24°C. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, predicting a 99% chance of 'NO'. The confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment is heavily skewed towards temperatures below 24°C.
• 2 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.9.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 6 hours remaining.
• 5 Low liquidity may affect market dynamics as the expiry approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.