Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 25°C or higher on March 27?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 25°C in Wellington on March 27.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, the consensus is that Wellington's temperature will not reach 25°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, indicating a low likelihood of higher temperatures, suggesting a stable outlook in this prediction market.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher for YES at 1%.
• 3 The edge of 0.95 indicates fair pricing in the market.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 4 hours remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.