Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C on March 23?

The market predicts the highest temperature in Wuhan will not reach 12°C on March 23.

Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome, with a 100% probability assigned to temperatures not reaching 12°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of the YES outcome. With 20 hours until expiry and a high confidence level, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against temperatures reaching 12°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is limited, adding urgency to the market dynamics.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with minimal edge for bettors.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.