Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on March 23?

The market strongly indicates that Wuhan's temperature will not reach 13°C on March 23.

With a market probability of 0% for a high of 13°C, there is a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 1% for this scenario, suggesting confidence in the forecasted temperatures. Given the edge score of 1, the market appears to be accurately priced.

• 1 Market shows unanimous belief that the temperature will not hit 13°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of the event.
• 3 High confidence level of 80 suggests strong conviction in the current predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency for any potential changes in forecasts.
• 5 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.