Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on March 23?

High probability for Wuhan's temperature reaching 18°C on March 23.

The market shows a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Wuhan will be 18°C on March 23, with a probability of 97.35%. The Pulse AI also supports this prediction, albeit with a slightly lower probability of 94.35%. Given the edge of -3, the market appears fairly priced, indicating balanced sentiment among participants.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly positive for the YES outcome.
• 2 The high probability suggests confidence in weather forecasts.
• 3 Historical weather data for this date may support the prediction.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, allowing for smooth transactions.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with only 20 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.