Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C or higher on March 23?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 21°C in Wuhan on March 23.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood that the temperature in Wuhan will not reach 21°C on March 23, with a consensus of 99.75% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 2.25%, suggesting some uncertainty in the forecast.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors temperatures below 21°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a small chance for temperatures to reach 21°C.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 20 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.