Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 23°C in Wuhan on March 29.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', it indicates a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 23°C. The Pulse AI probability also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher uncertainty. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 80/100.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily leans towards temperatures below 23°C.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest minimal chance of reaching the threshold.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the low likelihood of high temperatures.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable with low volatility.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.