Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C or higher on March 29?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 28°C in Wuhan on March 29.

The prediction market shows a dominant belief that the highest temperature in Wuhan will not reach 28°C, with a 99.95% probability assigned to the NO outcome. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of temperatures exceeding this threshold. The market appears fairly priced based on the current probabilities.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO outcome at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 1.55%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding an element of unpredictability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.