Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?

The market strongly favors NO for the movie being top grossing in 2026.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood that 'The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping' will not be the top grossing movie of 2026, with a consensus of 98.9% against it. The AI model also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 3.1%, suggesting some uncertainty but overall confidence in the NO outcome.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 98.9%.
• 2 AI prediction aligns closely with market sentiment, favoring NO at 96.9%.
• 3 The edge of 2 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 75/100 indicates moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 7121 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.