Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Singers are highly favored to win Best Live Action Short Film at the Oscars.

With a market probability of 99.80% for a win, The Singers are overwhelmingly favored in this category. The Pulse AI also supports this sentiment with a probability of 95.3%, indicating strong confidence in their victory. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -4.5.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors The Singers for the win.
• 2 The probability gap suggests strong consensus among bettors.
• 3 Historical trends indicate high accuracy in similar prediction markets.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, supporting the current pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is unclear, which may affect future betting behavior.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.