Will The Smashing Machine win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

The market strongly favors 'NO' for The Smashing Machine winning Best Film Editing.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% belief that The Smashing Machine will not win Best Film Editing, with a very low AI probability of 1% for a win. This suggests a consensus against the film's chances, reflecting strong sentiment and confidence in the outcome.

• 1 Market shows a clear consensus with 100% on 'NO'.
• 2 AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% for 'NO'.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 80/100, indicating strong belief in the outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 19 hours remaining for potential shifts.
• 5 Current market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Film Editing.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Film Editing when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.