Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

There's an 81% chance the Steam Machine will cost $700 or more at release.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus that the Steam Machine will be priced at $700 or higher, with an 81% probability. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's estimate of 78%, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge of -3. Confidence in this prediction is moderate at 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a high price point.
• 2 The Pulse AI's prediction closely aligns with market probabilities.
• 3 The edge of -3 indicates a balanced market without significant mispricing.
• 4 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Potential external factors could influence pricing expectations.

Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.

If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.