Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

The market strongly favors NO for The Weeknd being the top Spotify artist in 2026.

With a market probability of 98.65% for NO, the consensus is that The Weeknd is unlikely to be the top Spotify artist in 2026. The confidence level of 75/100 indicates a moderate certainty in this prediction, suggesting that while there is some belief in the possibility, the overwhelming sentiment is against it.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors NO with a 98.65% probability.
• 2 The Weeknd's recent performance on Spotify may influence future rankings.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.
• 4 Confidence level of 75/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant at 6783 hours, allowing for potential market shifts.

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026.

This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.

If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.