Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

Tommy Fleetwood is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Tommy Fleetwood winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with a 0% probability for a win. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, assigning a 1% chance of victory. Overall, the market appears fairly priced, indicating a high level of confidence in the current odds.

• 1 Market probability indicates a strong belief Fleetwood will not win.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level of 85 suggests robust analysis backing current odds.
• 4 No imminent events are expected to alter Fleetwood's winning chances.
• 5 Market appears stable with low liquidity concerns.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).