Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?

Market favors USD remaining below 1.7M rials by March 31.

The prediction market indicates a 23.5% probability of the USD reaching 1.7 million Iranian rials by the end of March, with a stronger consensus against it. The Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for a YES outcome at 27%, suggesting some uncertainty. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards NO.
• 2 Geopolitical stability in Iran is a key factor for currency valuation.
• 3 Historical trends show limited volatility in the rial against the USD.
• 4 Liquidity in this market is moderate, reflecting cautious trading.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with only 520 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).

A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.

Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.

The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the March 31, 2026, exchange rate data is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.