Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?

Market favors USD staying below 1.8M rials by March 31.

The prediction market shows a strong preference for the USD not reaching 1.8 million Iranian rials, with an 81% probability for 'NO.' The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a moderate confidence level in the current pricing.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 81%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 22.5%.
• 3 Current market pricing indicates a fair assessment of the situation.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry of 511 hours allows for potential market shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).

A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.

Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.

The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the March 31, 2026, exchange rate data is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.