Will Warren Buffett be richest person on March 31?

The market strongly favors that Warren Buffett will not be the richest person on March 31.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% likelihood that Warren Buffett will not hold the title of richest person by March 31. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 3.55% for him being the richest, suggesting a consensus against this outcome. Given the time to expiry of 87 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' for Buffett being the richest.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest a low likelihood of a change in status.
• 3 The edge of 3.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 There is moderate confidence in the predictions with a score of 60/100.
• 5 Time pressure with only 87 hours left could influence final outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.