Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Wei Yi has a low chance of winning the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament.

The market indicates a 10.50% probability of Wei Yi winning the tournament, which aligns closely with the Pulse AI's estimate of 12%. With a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced, suggesting limited room for significant shifts in sentiment at this time.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' for Wei Yi's victory.
• 2 The market probability is closely aligned with the AI's assessment.
• 3 There is a moderate confidence level indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The time to expiry is relatively short, limiting potential shifts.
• 5 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent interest.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 29 - April 16, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.