Will White House post 120-139 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Market favors fewer than 120-139 posts from the White House during the specified week.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood that the White House will post fewer than 120-139 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026, with a NO probability of 94.05%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher YES probability of 10.95%, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 5.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The time to expiry is relatively short at 91 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Historical posting patterns may influence future expectations.

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.