The market favors fewer than 180 posts from the White House during the specified week.
With a market probability of 78% for 'NO', participants expect the White House to post fewer than 180 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, indicating a higher likelihood of fewer posts. The edge of 5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence in the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.