Market strongly favors NO for White House posts between March 24-31, 2026.
The prediction market indicates a 100% probability for NO, suggesting that participants believe the White House will not post 40-59 times during the specified period. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, reinforcing the market's stance. With a confidence level of 75/100 and a time to expiry of 107 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.