Will White House post 80-99 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Market strongly favors fewer than 80 posts from the White House during the specified week.

The prediction market shows a significant preference for the NO outcome, indicating that participants expect the White House to post fewer than 80 times from March 24 to March 31, 2026. The Pulse AI probability also aligns with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of reaching 80-99 posts. With a confidence level of 60/100, there is moderate uncertainty in the predictions.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors the NO outcome at 99.55%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for YES at 3.95%.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.5.
• 4 Confidence in the market's prediction is moderate at 60/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 107 hours, adding urgency to the predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.