Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?

The market strongly favors that Wicked: For Good will not be the top grossing movie of 2026.

With a market probability of 99.75% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that Wicked: For Good will not achieve the highest box office gross in 2026. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 2.25%, indicating some uncertainty but overall alignment with the market's view.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability suggests low confidence in Wicked: For Good's box office potential.
• 3 Historical trends indicate that anticipated films often face stiff competition.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts in market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.