Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?

Low probability of a Zelenskyy-Putin meeting in Belarus before 2027.

The market indicates a strong belief that a meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin in Belarus before 2027 is unlikely, with a 95.15% probability of 'NO.' The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a consensus that geopolitical tensions will hinder such a meeting.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Geopolitical tensions remain high, impacting meeting likelihood.
• 3 Historical context shows limited direct engagement between the leaders.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent trader confidence.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts based on unfolding events.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.

For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.