Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?

Low probability of a Zelenskyy-Putin meeting in Qatar/UAE before 2027.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against a meeting, with a 98.25% probability of 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects skepticism, but with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 5.25%, indicating some uncertainty in the geopolitical landscape.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The gap between market and AI probabilities suggests differing views on potential diplomatic developments.
• 3 Historical context shows limited prior meetings between these leaders under similar circumstances.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, indicating confidence in current pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential geopolitical shifts that could influence probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.

For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.