Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?

The market strongly favors that Zelenskyy and Putin will not meet in Switzerland before 2027.

With a market probability of 99% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus against a meeting occurring. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a low likelihood of a meeting, suggesting that current geopolitical conditions do not favor such an engagement.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against a meeting.
• 2 Geopolitical tensions remain high, impacting the likelihood of dialogue.
• 3 Historical context shows limited direct engagement between the leaders.
• 4 Market pricing indicates a balance of risk, with slight room for movement.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.

For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.